Author: Comparable

More Australians (and permanent residents!) will soon be eligible for a leg up into the property market under an expanded Home Guarantee Scheme. Today we’ll run you through all the upcoming changes to the low deposit, no lenders mortgage insurance scheme.

Officially unveiled as part of the 2023 federal budget, the expanded Home Guarantee Scheme will have broader eligibility criteria from 1 July 2023.

So if you’re a single parent or guardian, first home buyer, haven’t owned property for a decade, permanent resident, or looking to buy a home with your friend or sibling – be sure to read on to find out if you’re eligible.

What is the Home Guarantee Scheme?

Getting a deposit together can be a massive hurdle when buying a home.

And if your deposit is lower than 20%, you can get stung with lenders mortgage insurance (LMI), which can cost you anywhere between $4,000 and $35,000, depending on the property price and your deposit amount.

But through the NHFIC, the federal government has three low deposit, no LMI schemes.

Which means if you’re eligible, you won’t need to wait until you’ve reached the standard 20% deposit.

The First Home Guarantee and Regional First Home Buyer Guarantee support eligible buyers to purchase a home with a low 5% deposit and no LMI.

And the Family Home Guarantee assists eligible single parents to buy a home with a deposit of just 2% and no LMI.

Access to these schemes can, on average, bring forward the home-buying process by five years!

It’s worth noting there is an eligibility criteria, which covers property types, locations and prices.

But an experienced broker (that’s us!) will be across all the ins and outs to help you work out if you qualify.

What are the upcoming changes?

Good news if you are among the increasing number of Australians joining with friends, siblings, and other family members to buy a home.

Come 1 July 2023, you may be eligible to lodge a joint application under the First Home Guarantee and Regional First Home Buyer Guarantee; previously you could only apply as an individual or married/de facto couple.

Meanwhile, the Family Home Guarantee is set to expand to include single legal guardians, such as an aunt, uncle or grandparent. Previously it was only for eligible single natural or adoptive parents.

All three schemes will expand to eligible borrowers who are Australian permanent residents, in addition to citizens.

And all three guarantees will include eligible borrowers who haven’t owned a property in Australia in the last ten years.

What you need to know

The Home Guarantee Scheme can be a great way to fast-track getting into the property market.

But you’ll have to get in quick because places are strictly limited.

That includes 35,000 places per financial year across the First Home Guarantee, 10,000 places per financial year under the Regional First Home Buyer Guarantee, and 5,000 places per financial year under the Family Home Guarantee.

Also, not all lenders are involved with the scheme. But we can help you to identify and compare participating lenders.

So give us a call today to get the ball rolling.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has increased the official cash rate for the 11th time in the past year, taking it to 3.85%. Have we finally reached the peak of this cycle? And how much will this latest rate hike increase your monthly repayments?

In what will undoubtedly be tough news for many households around the country, this latest rate hike comes despite many pundits predicting the RBA would keep the cash rate on hold for at least another month.

RBA Governor Philip Lowe said while inflation in Australia has passed its peak, at 7% it was still too high and it would take some time before it was back in the target range of 2-3%.

“Given the importance of returning inflation to target within a reasonable timeframe, the Board judged that a further increase in interest rates was warranted today,” he said.

However, in what may come as welcome news to mortgage holders, Governor Lowe softened his language around the possibility of further rate hikes.

“Some further tightening of monetary policy may be required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe, but that will depend upon how the economy and inflation evolve,” he said.

How much could this latest hike increase your mortgage repayments?

Unless you’re on a fixed-rate mortgage, the banks will likely follow the RBA’s lead and increase the interest rate on your variable home loan very shortly.

Let’s say you’re an owner-occupier with a 25-year loan of $500,000 paying principal and interest.

This month’s 25 basis point increase means your monthly repayments could increase by almost $75 a month. That’s an extra $1,060 a month on your mortgage compared to 3 May 2022.

If you have a $750,000 loan, repayments will likely increase by about $112 a month, up $1590 from 3 May 2022.

Meanwhile, a $1 million loan will increase by about $150 a month, up about $2,130 from 3 May 2022.

What happens if the cash rate increases further?

Economists at the big four banks are forecasting that the cash rate will now either remain at 3.85% or have one more hike to 4.10%.

Assuming you’re an owner-occupier with a 25-year loan, here’s how much more you could be paying each month if the cash rate reaches 4.10%:

– $500,000 loan: approximately $75 more = up $1135 from 3 May 2022, to a total of approximately $3,470 per month.

– $750,000 loan: approximately $112 more = up $1702 from 3 May 2022, to a total of $5,200 per month.

– $1 million loan: approximately $150 more = up $2280 from 3 May 2022, to a total of $6,950 per month.

Worried about your mortgage? Get in touch

There’s no denying that a lot of households around the country are feeling the pain of these rate rises.

There are also lots of people on fixed-rate home loans wondering just what options will be available to them once their fixed-rate period ends.

Some options we can help you explore include refinancing (which could involve increasing the length of your loan and decreasing monthly repayments), debt consolidation, or building up a bit of a buffer in an offset account ahead of more rate hikes.

So if you’re worried about how you might meet your repayments going forward, give us a call today. The earlier we sit down with you and help you make a plan, the better we can help you manage any further rate hikes.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

With every RBA rate rise announcement, mortgage holders brace themselves for impending repayment increases. Here’s how to stay on top of your mortgage and feel financially secure.

Let’s face it, the RBA’s rate rise cycle hasn’t been easy for mortgage holders, with average monthly repayments now hundreds of dollars (and in some cases, thousands of dollars) more expensive than they were a year ago.

Pair this with the rising cost of living and many Australians are eager to bolster their finances to weather the storm, especially as there are one or two more rate rises predicted to come.

But rest assured, there are things you can do to help manage your mortgage and stay on top of your finances.

1. Review your loan

Regularly reviewing your loan can help you assess whether it’s best suited to your current situation.

You may be able to access features that may benefit you such as an offset account. And even get a better interest rate.

Canstar research shows 63% of Australians haven’t attempted to negotiate their interest rate with their lender in the last year.

And only a quarter of those who did were knocked back. But you don’t have to run the risk of rejection yourself.

Get in touch with us and we can go in to bat for you.

And if we don’t think your lender is playing fair, we can help you look elsewhere. Which brings us to our next point…

2. What are competitor lenders offering?

Canstar research shows that 77% of mortgage holders may be paying more than if they switched loans.

And RBA data from November 2022 shows that on average, existing variable owner-occupier home loan rates were 5.29%, while new loans had an average rate of 4.79%.

This is known as the “loyalty tax” – where banks often only pass on better interest rates and features to new customers.

But we can help you out.

Let us do the legwork and find suitable refinancing options so you can save.

3. Avoid the mortgage trap

Before you refinance, it’s good to get a picture of your debt-to-income and loan-to-value ratios.

This can help you avoid being trapped in a mortgage without the ability to switch to a better interest rate.

Your debt-to-income ratio is your total debt divided by your gross income. Lenders use this to assess how you manage money and to calculate your borrowing power.

So if you’re seeking to refinance a $700,000 home loan (and have no other debt), and you have $160,000 in gross household income, your DTI is 4.375 – a ratio most lenders would be very comfortable with.

So make sure your other debts – such as car loans, and credit cards – are being managed, as well as your mortgage. It can help bolster your credit rating.

Your loan-to-value ratio is the comparison between your loan amount and the assessed value of your home.

This means that a drop in your property’s value can affect your ability to refinance.

And thus, if your equity drops below 20% some lenders may not accept your application to refinance. So refinancing at the right time (ie. before prices fall too low) can help you avoid being locked into your current mortgage.

If all this sounds complex or you just don’t have the time, we’re only a phone call away.

4. Track your spending

Like many of us, you’ve probably cut back on spending already.

But there’s a popular saying that rings true: “what gets measured gets managed.” Track your spending and see where additional changes can be made.

It can be a real eye-opener.

You may think “they can pry my daily cafe-bought triple shot latte from my cold dead hand” … but when the cost is tallied up, you may change your mind.

And that streaming subscription you never use and forgot about is still coming out of your bank account like clockwork.

5. Speak to us

Want a hand with all the above?

We can help you to refinance, consolidate your debts, manage application processes, and much more.

Get in touch today and we can help you through the refinancing process, even if there is possibly another rate rise or two to come.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

As property prices start to climb, listings are following suit. So if you’re hunting for a home, what does this mean for you?

If you’ve been looking at the property market over the last six to 12 months, you probably already know that while property prices have dropped, it’s been a case of slim pickings due to the drastically low number of listings.

But prices look like they are starting to bounce back, with March heralding a 0.6% increase in national property prices, according to CoreLogic. And listings are following suit.

PropTrack data for March showed new listings on realestate.com had risen by 10.5% month-on-month, making it the busiest month for new listings since May 2022.

So why has the market changed? And what does it mean if you’re looking to buy?

Property prices and increased demand

When the RBA announced its rate rise pause in April, we all let out a collective sigh of relief.

And many financial and property analysts, including CoreLogic, estimated the pause may give rise to increased prices due to a boost in buyer confidence.

But there are other compounding factors that were influencing the pricing upswing before the rate rise pause.

Record low listings, a competitive and expensive rental market, and elevated migration placed increased demand on limited housing supply.

And prices started to climb despite consecutive rate rises.

Rising prices, combined with the Autumn selling season, have seen vendor confidence pick up and property listings increase.

But how does this affect you if you’re looking to buy?

Opportunity may be knocking

If you’ve been ready to buy but haven’t been able to find the right place due to low supply, now may be the time to purchase – before FOMO starts to kick into the market.

More listings mean you’ll have a greater chance to find a suitable abode, rather than sifting through the dregs.

But before you pounce on that perfect property, it helps to have your finance sorted.

Finding out your borrowing capacity and loan options are important steps when planning to buy.

And while the RBA’s pause bolstered our spirits, it’s wise to be mindful that there are a couple more cash rate rises expected.

Getting advice on the right type of loan, assessing your borrowing power, and organising your finances could make things smoother.

So if you’re keen to purchase in 2023, give us a call and we’ll get cracking on finding you a mortgage solution that will suit your individual needs.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

You’ve probably heard the term “fixed-rate cliff” bandied about in finance news feeds. But what is it? And if you’re about to head over it, how can you prepare for a soft landing?

A staggering 880,000 fixed-rate loans are set to end this year, and when they do, many Australian households will be facing significantly higher mortgage repayments.

That’s because the variable interest rates now on offer are much higher than the fixed rates locked in years ago.

So today we look at what this so-called “cliff” might mean for your budget and how you can reduce the impact by refinancing.

But first, why is the fixed rate cliff looming in 2023?

Before 2020, fixed-rate mortgages equated to about 20% of total Australian home loans.

But during the pandemic, the RBA dramatically slashed the cash rate to a record low of 0.10%, and many savvy Australians pounced on the opportunity to lock in a low interest rate in early to mid-2021 for two to three years.

This saw 2021 fixed-rate borrowing basically double to 40% of total Australian home loans.

However, as with all good things, the low rate times came to an end.

Since May 2022, the RBA has hiked the official cash rate back up to 3.60%.

Those on fixed-rate loans have had a reprieve, until now – with 880,000 mortgage holders set to start rolling off their fixed rate throughout 2023.

And CoreLogic warns “the pain will be felt most acutely from April” this year.

What effects can a fixed rate cliff have

According to CoreLogic data, a mortgage holder who took out an average-sized loan of $538,936 with a fixed rate of 1.98% could see their repayments increase by over $1000 per month when rolling over to a standard variable rate.

Those who locked in 2020/2021 interest rates that hovered around the 1.75 to 2.25% range will be transitioning to interest rates as high as 5 to 6%.

That’s an increase greater than the 3 percentage point minimum interest rate buffer that lenders use to assess the serviceability of home loan applications.

How to refinance (properly)

When a fixed-rate loan period ends, lenders often don’t roll existing clients over to the best rates they have on offer.

The most attractive interest rates are usually reserved for new customers as an incentive.

But by refinancing with another lender you can access lower introductory rates, which can potentially save you thousands of dollars in repayments over time.

Working with a broker like us can take the stress off your shoulders when navigating the end of a fixed rate period.

We’ll use our vast network of lenders to zone in on suitable loans and lenders that are right for you.

And importantly, we’re (happily) bound by a best interests duty.

So while banks and digital lenders might try to tempt you with cashback offers for loan products that may not really be in your best interests (due to fees, high interest rates, and other undesirable loan terms), we’ll only ever try to match you up with lenders and loans that are in your best interests.

Get in touch

Is your fixed-rate cliff looming?

Get in touch today and we’ll get to work on finding you great refinancing options to soften the landing.

And if the landing is still looking a little bumpy, we can help you explore some additional options, such as increasing the length of your loan and therefore decreasing monthly repayments, debt consolidation, or helping you identify ways to build up a bit of a cash buffer in the meantime.

Whatever your situation, the earlier we sit down with you and help you make a plan, the better we can help you manage the transition.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

And … exhale. After 10 straight rate hikes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has today decided to put the official cash rate on hold. But for how long?

The decision to keep the official cash rate at 3.60% will be welcomed by homeowners around the country after monthly repayments increased by about $1000 per $500,000 loaned (for a 25-year loan) since 1 May 2022.

RBA Governor Philip said the RBA board took the decision to hold interest rates steady this month to provide additional time to assess the impact of the increase in interest rates to date and the economic outlook.

“The Board recognises that monetary policy operates with a lag and that the full effect of this substantial increase in interest rates is yet to be felt,” he said.

However, while the cash rate was not increased at today’s RBA meeting, Governor Lowe signalled there might be more rate hikes in the coming months.

“The decision to hold interest rates steady this month provides the Board with more time to assess the state of the economy and the outlook, in an environment of considerable uncertainty,” he said.

“In assessing when and how much further interest rates need to increase, the Board will be paying close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in household spending and the outlook for inflation and the labour market.”

How much have your repayments increased since 1 May 2022?

Let’s say you’re an owner-occupier with a 25-year loan of $500,000 paying principal and interest.

The wave of 10 successive rate rises means the repayments on your mortgage have increased by about $985 a month compared to 1 May 2022.

If you have a $750,000 loan, repayments will likely have increased $1,478 from 1 May 2022.

Meanwhile, a $1 million loan is up about $1,980 from 1 May 2022.

What happens if the cash rate increases further in future months?

Economists at the big four banks have forecast that the cash rate will peak at either 3.85% or 4.10% in the months to come (so, just one or two more cash rate hikes to go).

Assuming you’re an owner-occupier with a 25-year loan, here’s how much more you could be paying each month if the cash rate reaches 4.10%:

– $500,000 loan: approximately $75 extra per rate rise = up $1135 from 1 May 2022, to a total of approximately $3,470 per month.

– $750,000 loan: approximately $112 extra per rate rise = up $1702 from 1 May 2022, to a total of $5,200 per month.

– $1 million loan: approximately $150 extra per rate rise = up $2280 from 1 May 2022, to a total of $6,950 per month.

Worried about your mortgage? Get in touch

Despite today’s reprieve, there’s no denying that a lot of households around the country are feeling the pain after 10 successive rate rises.

There are also lots of people on fixed-rate home loans wondering what options will be available to them once their fixed-rate period ends.

Some options we can help you explore include refinancing (which could involve increasing the length of your loan and decreasing monthly repayments), debt consolidation, or building up a bit of a buffer in an offset account ahead of more rate hikes.

So if you’re worried about how you might meet your repayments going forward, give us a call today. The earlier we sit down with you and help you make a plan, the better we can help you manage any further rate hikes.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

We all know being on our monetary best behaviour can help to land a home loan. But did you know there are common spending habits you may have that are red flags to lenders?

Smart money management and cutting back on expenses can help your home loan application. That’s no secret.

But a bit of measured discretionary spending can add a little spice to life. We’re human after all. And lenders will see this as normal.

However, there are certain spending habits and types of transactions that can be a red flag to lenders. And these may hinder your chances of home loan approval.

Check out our list of potentially problematic spending habits below; avoiding them just might make all the difference when you apply for your next home loan.

PayPal transactions

There’s nothing inherently wrong with using PayPal. It’s often a convenient and safe way to make online purchases.

But many expenses that lenders may scrutinise, such as online gambling, and other unmentionable vices, use PayPal with vague descriptors.

This makes it easier to hide spending habits some may not want the world to know about.

And even if your PayPal spending is mundane, if the descriptions are vague, lenders may still raise an eyebrow.

Purchases through bank accounts on the other hand make it easier for lenders to see your spending habits when assessing your application.

Buy now, pay later

It can be tempting to use a buy now, pay later (BNPL) service to splurge on a new outfit and leave future you to stump up the cash.

However, even though BNPL services aren’t traditional credit products, they can still affect your credit score.

That’s because when you apply for a BNPL service, there’s a chance it may be recorded as an enquiry on your credit report – and these enquiries may impact your credit score.

Worse still, a few missed payments later and that purchase may not seem like such a hot idea – BNPL services can notify credit reporting agencies that you’ve defaulted on a payment, leaving you with a blemish on your credit report.

Last but not least, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) recently amended its framework to include BNPL debts in the reporting of debt-to-income (DTI) ratios.

And a high DTI can lessen your home loan borrowing capacity, or even lead to rejection.

Dipping into savings too often

Having regular savings locked away, untouched, and accruing interest … well, that can make lenders smile when assessing your mortgage application.

But as we all know, life happens. Unexpected expenses may crop up that require you to dip into your savings.

This isn’t the end of the world when applying for a mortgage, but pinching too much from your piggy bank might get lenders thinking that you’re unable to put money aside and budget.

This could lead lenders to believe that you will struggle to make regular repayments.

Store credit cards

Many stores will entice you with swanky perks in return for signing up for their credit card. But often, when you look past the interest-free period sparkle, the interest rates are rubbish.

One or two forgotten payments can really end up costing you.

Also, lenders may view having a multitude of store cards as “fishing for credit” – sourcing credit from different places may make it look like you’re scrambling for money.

And every time you apply for a store credit card, your credit report is pinged, which as mentioned previously, can harm your overall score.

Frequent large ATM withdrawals

Some people still prefer to use cash, which is fine. But keep in mind that in the eyes of lenders it may make your spending habits hard to track.

Lenders may question your withdrawals. If you have a fair explanation, and possibly some supporting documentation, then cash withdrawals likely won’t have a negative effect on your application.

However, keep in mind that withdrawing a few hundred dollars every Friday night at the local service station or bottleo ATM isn’t a great look.

Get your ducks in a row

Nobody likes the sting of rejection.

But fear not because we’re experts in helping people shape up their finances for a schmick mortgage application.

So if you’re thinking about buying but are worried about how some of your recent transactions or money habits might look to a lender, get in touch today and we can help you start to smooth things out.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Home loan headlines have been, let’s face it, a bit of a downer of late. But the good news is that first-home buyers are now reaching their 20% deposit goal faster.

First home buyers have been delivered a bit of well-deserved good news with the findings of the 2023 Domain First Home Buyer Report.

The analysis shows that first-home buyers aged between 25 to 34 are hitting their house deposit saving goal more quickly compared to April 2022 – a month before the first of ten consecutive cash rate hikes.

State-by-state breakdown

Sydney experienced the biggest decline – a whopping 17-month drop in average deposit-saving time frames, with it now taking 6 years and 8 months to save a deposit compared to 8 years and 1 month in April 2022.

Brisbane (now an average of 4 years to save a deposit) and Canberra (now 6 years) came in second, both experiencing a 14-month drop.

Melbourne (now 5 years 7 months) and Darwin (3 years 6 months) came next, both with an 11-month decrease in saving periods.

Hobart (5 years 8 months), Perth (3 years 7 months) and Adelaide (4 years 9 months) all saw smaller drops of 5 months, 2 months and 1 month respectively.

Why is it quicker to save a deposit now?

Well, 2022 saw a steady decline in national house prices in response to increasing interest rates. In January 2023, CoreLogic reported a record national home value decline of 8.40%.

And as property prices fall, so too does the cost of your 20% deposit.

Also contributing to the shorter savings periods is ABS data showing that wages have grown in both public and private sectors, while the unemployment rate is hovering at a low 3.5%. Rate hikes meanwhile have seen savings accounts accrue more interest.

Overcoming potential challenges

Despite the promising new CoreLogic findings, saving a 20% deposit can still be a stretch for many.

The increased cost of living means just paying for essentials takes a big chunk of the paycheck, leaving less for savings.

And with home loan interest rates on the up, borrowing capacity has dropped and mortgage serviceability can be difficult.

Also, CoreLogic has reported that house prices have begun to stabilise.

So, as a first-home buyer, how can you speed up the buying process?

Get in on government incentives

Taking advantage of government schemes can speed up your home-buying journey by 4 to 4.5 years, on average.

For example, the First Home Guarantee could see you paying a deposit of just 5% while avoiding an eye-watering lenders’ mortgage insurance fee.

But you’ll have to be quick because spots are limited and can disappear quickly. The next allocation period in July is creeping up, so getting on board with a mortgage broker (like us!) ASAP is a good idea.

We’ve got the know-how to get your First Home Guarantee application on track.

And, we can see if you’re eligible to maximise your savings by combining other government incentives.

Find out more

If you’re ready to take the plunge and buy your first home we can help get a plan in place to make it happen.

We’ll calculate your borrowing power, assess your finance options, and assist in taking advantage of government incentives.

Call us today.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Rate rises can affect the property market, as we’ve all seen of late. But there are other factors that appear to hold longer-term sway over national house prices.

In a bid to bust inflation, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been on a rate rise run that’s seen the official cash rate go from a record-low of 0.10% to 3.60% in just 10 short months.

Along the way, we’ve seen property prices across Australia decline.

As rates rose, Australia saw the largest and swiftest property price drop on record, with a 9.1% fall from April 2022 through to February 2023.

But a recent study by Domain, which examined 30 years of data, suggests that population and migration growth have greater and more long-lasting effects on property prices.

The study shows that a 1% mortgage rate increase may result in Australian house prices falling by 1.34%, on average.

But in comparison, national house prices could jump by 8.18% with a population increase of only 1%.

So let’s examine the effects of mortgage rate rises and population growth so you can navigate the market.

Mortgage rate rise effects

When interest rates rise, your borrowing power can dip. And the rise in the cost of living can hit the hip pocket.

So, under these conditions, fewer people may be willing to buy property.

With less demand, vendors may need to lower prices in order to sell homes. And if you’re ready to buy you may be able to negotiate a great price.

But the RBA can’t keep raising the cash rate forever (surely!).

In fact, economists at each of the big 4 banks have forecast that the RBA will announce just one or two more rate rises by 2 May 2023, with a peak cash rate of 4.10% predicted.

Corelogic stated in their recent three-year post-pandemic market report that once we get a rate hike reprieve, property sale and price volatility may lessen.

Population and migration effects

While mortgage rate rises do affect property prices, other factors appear to have more long-term effects.

Doman’s findings outlined that property prices are reactive to rate rises within the same quarter, whereas movement in population and migration numbers is cumulative and the effects are longer lasting.

So as migration numbers continue to rebound following COVID-19 lockdowns (and lockouts), it’s likely we’ll see an increase in property demand, which could cause prices to rise.

For example, Domain says Melbourne has “made a quick population recovery” since the COVID-19 lockdowns and is slated to nab the title of Australia’s most populated city by 2031-2032.

Melbourne had an 8.1% property price drop in 2022, while Sydney experienced a heftier reduction of 12.1%.

Domain’s study suggests that Melbourne’s population boom, and the resulting increase in housing demand, are behind the more moderate price drop.

And so, while it’s worth considering mortgage rates when surveying the property market, other factors like population and migration – which feed directly into supply and demand – are certainly worth considering too.

If you’d like to dig into the modelling further, the Australian government’s Centre for Population website has a great interactive tool that you can use to check out migration forecasts for each state and territory.

Get in touch with us today

Keeping an eagle eye on property prices is a great idea if you’ve got home ownership in your sights.

And while you’re busy researching the market, we can get cracking on helping to find the right loan for you.

We can also help you get financially savvy with tips to boost your borrowing power. That way you’ll be ready to pounce when the time is right.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has increased the official cash rate for a tenth straight meeting, taking it to 3.60%. How much will this rate hike increase your monthly mortgage repayments, and how many more rate rises are expected to come?

The RBA’s latest move takes the cash rate to its highest level since May 2012.

However, in somewhat hopeful news for mortgage holders, RBA Governor Philip Lowe has softened his language around the timing of future rate hikes.

While last month he said “further increases in interest rates will be needed over the months ahead”, no such statement was included in this month’s rate hike announcement.

In assessing when and how much further interest rates need to increase, Governor Lowe said the RBA board will be “paying close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in household spending and the outlook for inflation and the labour market”.

“The board remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to target and will do what is necessary to achieve that,” he added.

How much could this increase your mortgage repayments?

Unless you’re on a fixed-rate mortgage, the banks will likely follow the RBA’s lead and increase the interest rate on your variable home loan very shortly.

Let’s say you’re an owner-occupier with a 25-year loan of $500,000 paying principal and interest.

This month’s 25 basis point increase means your monthly repayments could increase by almost $75 a month. That’s an extra $985 a month on your mortgage compared to 1 May 2022.

If you have a $750,000 loan, repayments will likely increase by about $112 a month, up $1478 from 1 May 2022.

Meanwhile, a $1 million loan will increase by about $150 a month, up about $1,980 from 1 May 2022.

What happens if the cash rate increases further?

The big four banks are forecasting that the cash rate will peak at either 3.85% (CBA’s prediction) or 4.10% (NAB, Westpac and ANZ).

Assuming you’re an owner-occupier with a 25-year loan, here’s how much more you could be paying each month if the cash rate reaches 4.10%:

– $500,000 loan: approximately $75 extra per rate rise = up $1135 from 1 May 2022, to a total of $3,470 per month.

– $750,000 loan: approximately $112 extra per rate rise = up $1702 from 1 May 2022, to a total of $5,200 per month.

– $1 million loan: approximately $150 extra per rate rise = up $2280 from 1 May 2022, to a total of $6,950 per month.

Worried about your mortgage? Get in touch

There’s no denying that a lot of households around the country are feeling the pain of these rate rises.

There are also lots of people on fixed-rate home loans wondering just what options will be available to them once their fixed-rate period ends.

Some options we can help you explore include refinancing (which could include increasing the length of your loan and decreasing monthly repayments), debt consolidation, or building up a bit of a buffer in an offset account ahead of more rate hikes.

So if you’re worried about how you might meet your repayments going forward, give us a call today. The earlier we sit down with you and help you make a plan, the better we can help you manage any further rate hikes.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.